Title page for ETD etd-08012012-040402

Type of Document Master's Thesis
Author Syverson, Peter D.
URN etd-08012012-040402
Title Engineering undergraduate enrollment and the engineering labor market :a lagged-supply analysis
Degree Master of Science
Department Economics
Advisory Committee
Advisor Name Title
Freiden, Alan N. Committee Chair
Mackay, Robert J. Committee Member
Meiselman, David I. Committee Member
  • Engineering
Date of Defense 1988-05-05
Availability restricted
The relationship between economic and demographic

factors and the flow of new students into undergraduate

engineering programs was investigated. An empirical analysis

was undertaken based on a lagged-supply model developed

earlier by Richard Freeman. The analysis involved the

replication of the Freeman model over the 1948-1972 period,

the extension of the model through 1986, and the forecasting

of first-year engineering enrollments up to the year 2000.

The model developed in this thesis was able to a

accurately mirror the engineering enrollment trends from 1948

to 1986. The economic variables--especially R&D expenditures

and starting engineering salaries relative to median income

of college graduates--were found to be important factors in

the flow of freshmen into engineering. None of the

variables relating to demographic trends were found to

significantly related to first—year engineering enrollment.

The importance of the federal government's role in the

engineering labor market through research and development

funding is discussed, along with forecasts of possible trends

in first-year engineering enrollment.

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