Type of Document Master's Thesis Author Syverson, Peter D. URN etd-08012012-040402 Title Engineering undergraduate enrollment and the engineering labor market :a lagged-supply analysis Degree Master of Science Department Economics Advisory Committee
Advisor Name Title Freiden, Alan N. Committee Chair Mackay, Robert J. Committee Member Meiselman, David I. Committee Member Keywords
Date of Defense 1988-05-05 Availability restricted AbstractThe relationship between economic and demographic
factors and the flow of new students into undergraduate
engineering programs was investigated. An empirical analysis
was undertaken based on a lagged-supply model developed
earlier by Richard Freeman. The analysis involved the
replication of the Freeman model over the 1948-1972 period,
the extension of the model through 1986, and the forecasting
of first-year engineering enrollments up to the year 2000.
The model developed in this thesis was able to a
accurately mirror the engineering enrollment trends from 1948
to 1986. The economic variables--especially R&D expenditures
and starting engineering salaries relative to median income
of college graduates--were found to be important factors in
the flow of freshmen into engineering. None of the
variables relating to demographic trends were found to
significantly related to first—year engineering enrollment.
The importance of the federal government's role in the
engineering labor market through research and development
funding is discussed, along with forecasts of possible trends
in first-year engineering enrollment.
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